The nic foresees a transformed world, in which no country whether the us, china, or any other large country will be a hegemonic power. The global economy in 2030 is the result of a collaborative effort of. The world of 2030 will be radically transformed from our world today. Oclcs webjunction has pulled together information and resources to assist library staff as they consider how to handle coronavirus. National intelligence council, describes megatrends and potential game changers for the next decades.
The future of work and workplaces an interinstitutional eu project disclaimer this publication was prepared by the european political strategy centre epsc in the context of the forthcoming european strategy and policy analysis system espas global trends to 2030 report. In 2030 an historian is writing a history of globalization and its impact on the state during the past 30 years. Numerous and frequentlyupdated resource results are available from this search. By 2030, 66% of the worlds middle classes will be living in asia. Any reader looking for a road map on what these scenarios will mean for finance will be disappointed. Alternative worlds is a draft report being prepared by the us national intelligence council to be released after the presidential election, in december 2012. This argument will play itself out in the 2030 scenario much as those capitalistsocialist models contended in the second half of the 20th century. Global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15 years. Citizens in an interconnected and polycentric world summary theme major trends ancillary trends empowerment of individuals. The nic global trends project involves extensive research and consultations with people inside the us government and around the world. There will be about 1 billion more of us, and we will live longer.
Dear readers, in this week i want to touch upon global trends 2030 report that was released three months ago. The aim of this paper is the identification of trends that will shape laundry washing by 2030. The report is intended to stimulate strategic thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during the. A groundbreaking analysis from one of the worlds foremost experts on a groundbreaking analysis from one of the worlds foremost experts on global trends. The global economy in 2030 free summary by daniel gros and. Guillen, the only way to truly understand the global transformations underwayand their impactsis to think laterally. Here are my predictions of how nine important trends will evolve by 2030 listed in order roughly from nearly certain to very likely to hard to say. But like any futuristic study, its foresight needs hindsight in the reading. The color print, charts, and pullouts as well as the easytoread summary and overview make this book readily accessible for any investor. Use features like bookmarks, note taking and highlighting while reading global trends 2030.
Deloitte ports industry global trends in the ports industry 17 each driver represents a shift in demographics, society, technology, or the economy that impacts the future. World population growing rapidly technological advancement source. A more vulnerable process of globalisation, shift to asia global trend 3. This important report from the american national intelligence council nic was released in december 2012. How todays biggest trends will collide and reshape the. How todays biggest trends will collide and reshape. In depth research, detailed modeling and a variety of analytical tools drawn from public, private and academic sources.
Global trends 2030 goodreads meet your next favorite book. The following report was released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council a condensed version of the report is also available 1. Global trends 2030 offers a balanced presentation on how the world. In his book future shock, alvin toffler identified the watershed of a new. Global trends 2030 is not the stuffy tome that one usually expects from a government agency.
A transformative industrial and technological revolution. Download it once and read it on your kindle device, pc, phones or tablets. Beacons of technology and innovation in manufacturing, world economic forum, january 2019 wto lowers trade forecast as tensions unsettle global economy, world trade organisation press release, 1 october 2019. Transformational trajectories and their implications. Global trends 2030 cfa institute enterprising investor. The fastest growing demographic will be the elderly, with the population of people over 65 years old at 1 billion by 2030. The national intelligence council nic has recently released their comprehensive quadrennial report forecasting global trends that have a major impact on our world, global trends 2030. Several innovations are included in global trends 2030, including. John maynard keynes, 1937, from global trends 2030. A game without a referee the relative decline of the west, the process of globalisation, and the emergence of new powers is creating a world with several interconnected poles. According to policymakers in the us, eu, russia, and nato, trends may bend in many potential directions, ranging from the rise of technologically empowered individuals.
Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. We believe that in the world of 2030a world in which a growing global population will have reached somewhere close to 8. The language used is not your usual dry, government documentese. The global economy in 2030 trends and strategies for europe. Burrows, counselor to the national intelligence council, discusses the global trends 2030. Germany and the world 2030 what major trends will change germany and europe, what can be expected by the year 2030, and what must therefore be on the agenda to give the right answers.
Alternative worlds report released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council. All these trends, currently underway, will converge in the year 2030 and change everything you know about culture, the economy, and the world. This website presents relevant scenarios and concrete recommendations by important experts from germany and the world. What major trends will change germany and europe, what can be expected by the year 2030, and what must therefore be on the agenda to give the right answers. Alternative worlds national intelligence council on. Richer, older and more urban human race with an expanding global middle class and greater inequalities global trend 2.
Since this nonstate world scenario is so different to our current paradigm, global trends 2030. Global trends 2030 reports us, eu, russia, and nato. Alternative worlds kindle edition by burrows, mathew. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global. We explored the implications of various trends and discontinuities over. Reliable information about the coronavirus covid19 is available from the world health organization current situation, international travel. A global human community but a growing expectations gap empowerment of individuals global rise of the middle class. Dec 07, 2014 global trends 2030 is not the stuffy tome that one usually expects from a government agency. It is an excellent analysis of the current trends in the world, and where they might lead us. Sixty percent of the worlds population will live in urbanized areas. Alternative worlds, published in 2012 by the national intelligence council, is one of the sources that parag khanna uses in connectography 2016.
Alternative worlds has inserted a fictional letter in its analysis of this scenario. I have much the same reaction to this latest megatrends book that i did after. This important report, global trends 2030alternative worlds, released in 2012 by the u. Global trends and risks that will shape the world over the next 20 years 4 1. Global trends 2030 identifies a number of other factors pertinent to the future probability of war, including power transitions, declining us military superiority, resource scarcity, new coercive technologies such as cyberweapons, precisionstrike capability, and bioweapons, and unresolved regional conflicts. China took the lead in 2017 with a market for trading the right to emit a tonne of co2, setting the world on a path towards a single carbon price and a powerful incentive to ditch fossil fuels, predicts jane burston, head of climate and environment at the uks national physical laboratory.
The goal of the report is to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during. Global trends 2030 was not written for investors, and so the reader must extrapolate and draw inferences concerning the impact of predicted trends and game changers on equity and fixedincome markets. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national. Dec 10, 2012 the national intelligence councils global trends 2030 report predicts that by the year 2030, a majority of the world s population will be out of poverty. Megatrends are global changes in individual, social and technological structures that shape our lives. Global trends, values, and ethics is a book that asks, what will our world be like in the next fifteen to twenty years. Recent research into climate trends warn that severe global warming associated with carbon release from the amazon rainforests and from methane hydrates in the arctic is possible by 2030, with perhaps catastrophic effects by 2050. Global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the ra.
Regarding the demographics, the average annual growth rate of the european population currently is 0. These are the unanswered questions about pandemics which appear in the box on page. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15 years. The national intelligence councils global trends 2030 report predicts that by the year 2030, a majority of the worlds population will be out of poverty.
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